#iran

The 30.5% probability of a U.S.-Iran deal by 2026, traded on Polymarket,...

Airstrikes hit Ilam and Baneh provinces in western Iran on April 4, 2025. No...

Polymarket's 'Military Action Against Gulf States' contract sits at 72.5%...

We believe prediction markets are the ultimate truth machines—transparent,...

The prediction market for a 2026 US-Iran deal that includes a reconstruction...

Hype fades; structure remains. On a quiet Tuesday, a warning surfaced not...

While the market sleeps on a quiet Sunday, Iran's Revolutionary Guard just dr...

The Polymarket contract for 'Iranian airspace closure before August 31, 2025'...

On July 22, 2025, Iran's Khatam al-Anbia Central Command—the IRGC's highest...

The numbers hit my terminal at 3:47 AM Warsaw time: Polymarket 'Iran Airspace...

The explosion at Erbil Air Base wasn't just a military event. It was a...

The market has priced a 28.5% probability of an Iran reconstruction fund on...

On January 8, 2026, a missile struck a US base in Iraq. Within minutes, Bitco...

The official statement from CENTCOM reads with surgical finality: latest...

The data hit my terminal at 14:32 UTC. A single Polymarket contract pricing t...

The United States Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has adde...

A report lands on your feed. Crypto Briefing, a site you trust for DeFi alpha...

Over the past 72 hours, a single prediction market contract on Polymarket has...

The headline screamed "Iran intensifies missile attacks on US bases." I...

At 2:17 AM CET, the first missile crossed into Israeli airspace. Within...

We didn’t see a missile launch. We didn’t see a diplomatic meltdown. But we s...

The trade signal did not come from a chart. It came from a prediction market....

Bitcoin dipped 1.8% in 14 minutes. The trigger? A news wire: Iran's governmen...

January 2026. IRGC operatives walk into an Isfahan hospital, extract injured...

We didn't see the explosions. We didn't hear the sirens. But Iran released...

Hook The U.S. Energy Secretary just lit a fuse under global oil markets. In a...

On March 27, 2026, the United States launched airstrikes on Iran's Hormozgan...

On a quiet Tuesday morning, a headline crossed my screen: Iran warns US of...

The chart didn't show any breakout. No golden cross, no volume spike on...

On May 23, 2026, a Polymarket contract showed a 57% probability that an attac...

Hook The algorithm priced the ape before the crowd did. Two percent. That is...

Hook A drone carrying a small explosive charge was intercepted and downed nea...

Over the past 48 hours, a specific on-chain metric broke its 90-day range: th...

Did the US military wake to find their Tomahawk missiles were...

Hook: Breaking the Signal 99.9%. That’s the number screaming from Polymarket’...

Iran just walked away from a memorandum with the United States. The crypto...

The Iran Strike That Wasn't: How a Phantom Missile Reshaped Crypto's Narrativ...

On March 17, 2025, a crypto media outlet reported that Iranian military asset...

The implied volatility term structure for Bitcoin options has steepened by 12...

The code is silent, but the ledger screams. On March 4, 2025, a blast hit the...

On July 13, 2026, Iran suspended the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. T...

We didn't see the coordinates on any blockchain. No smart contract flagged th...

Hook On July 18, 2024, a single tweet from Iran’s Foreign Minister Hussein...

Block 19,420,300 just confirmed. IRGC claims two ballistic missiles penetrate...

A single headline from Crypto Briefing last week claimed that Iran's Islamic...

A single prediction market contract on Polymarket shows a 27.5% probability...

Hook Over the past 72 hours, a ghost has risen from the Persian Gulf—not an...

### Hook Over the past 48 hours, the on-chain footprint of Middle Eastern...

Iran just sealed the Strait of Hormuz. Tanker explosions. US tensions. Oil...

Hook: The 99.9% Probability Trap A single line from Crypto Briefing lands lik...